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  • ICA A "Assessment of the Air Transport System"
Logo Sustainable and Energy Efficient Aviation of TU Braunschweig
A1.2 - Simulative Evaluation of Future Scenarios (STENOS)
  • ICA A "Assessment of the Air Transport System"
    • JRP - Hydrogen in sustainable aviation: Macroeconomic impacts and state intervention
    • JRG-A1 - Overall System Evaluation
    • A2.1 - Exterior noise assessment of single fly-over events
    • A2.2 - Environmental noise prediction for large long-term air traffic scenarios
    • A3.1 - SE²A Advanced ATS Simulation (AdAS)
    • A3.2 - Designing an economically efficient and reliable static and dynamic wireless charging infrastructure for emission-free apron ground vehicles
    • A4.1 - SUstainability Modelling and Analysis of Future aircraft systems (SUMAFly)
    • A1.1 Scenarios for Air Transport System in Alternative 2050 Environments (ScenAIR2050)
    • A2.3 - Assessment the impact of new aircraft technologies on cabin noise
    • A1.2 - Simulative Evaluation of Future Scenarios (STENOS)
    • A1.3 - EvAir - Evaluation and Advancement of Aviation Law
    • A2.3 - Psychoacoustic cabin noise assessment under parameter uncertainties and stochastic loads
    • A2.4 - Simultaneous scenario-based aptimization of aircraft flight routes and noise assessment (SONAR)
    • A3.3 - Decision support to determine transition paths for the introduction of LH2 aircraft refueling systems at existing airports
    • A3.4 - Simulation and Optimisation of Air Transport Processes (SOAP)
    • A4.1 - SUMAFly II – SUstainability Modeling and Analysis of Future aircraft systems II
    • ⯇ back to research

A1.2 - Simulative Evaluation of Future Scenarios (STENOS)

Overview

Project description

In the project STENOS, the future scenarios pertaining to different business strategies of aircraft manufacturing and fuel production firms, and potential policies that promote the adoption of new emissions reducing technologies in the air transport system will be analyzed. The study will be conducted by using a combination of system dynamics and agent-based simulation modeling techniques to promote a sound understanding of the systems’ behavior.

Objectives

The main objectives of STENOS are

  • Assessment of business models for aircraft and fuel manufacturers STENOS will determine the effect on the adoption rates of new technologies of different business strategies by the major stakeholder firms in the system. This will provide a better understanding of the set of strategies that are required from the stakeholder firms in the industry to reach the emissions reduction goals. At the same time, it will provide insights on strategies that can prove to be fatal for the system and limit the growth rate of adoption.
  • Assessment of SAF policies There are different types of policies suggested, i.e., blending mandates and energy tax directives. STENOS will answer what their effect is on the adoption rates of sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs) in the system and how the potential contribution of single or a combination of policies can help reach the strategic goals of IATA and the emissions reduction goals.
  • Sensitivity analysis of parameters on cumulative CO2-savings STENOS will conduct a systematic test of future scenarios regarding, e.g., availability, delivery and construction time of SE2A-planes, and air passenger development. Hereby, the sensitivities of the cumulative CO2-savings to the respective parameters can be determined.

Project details

Members
Imke Joormann

Dr. Imke Joormann

Principal Investigator

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Prof. Dr. Thomas S. Spengler

Prof. Dr. Thomas S. Spengler

Principal Investigator

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Hongfeng Gao

Hongfeng Gao, M. Sc.

Research Associate

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Publications

Contact information

Project lead

Dr. Imke Joormann

+49 531-391-2217

Organization

Institute of Automotive Management and Industrial Production

Technische Universität Braunschweig
Mühlenpfordtstraße 23
D-38106 Braunschweig

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Contact information

Cluster of Excellence SE²A –
Sustainable and Energy-Efficient Aviation
Technische Universität Braunschweig
Hermann-Blenk-Str. 42
38108 Braunschweig

se2a(at)tu-braunschweig.de
+49 531 391 66661

 

 

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