The aim of the subproject is to analyse the effects of Green Infrastructure (GI) properties such as forest condition and spatial connectivity as well as climate variables on the (meta-)population dynamics and occurrence of forest bird species occupying different ecological niches. The statistical modelling used to analyse these effects is also the basis for a (semi-)mechanistic hybrid approach for spatial modelling of (meta-)population dynamics of focal species at the landscape level. These (meta-)population models will be used to test how the predicted (meta-)population size of these species in the GI over the next 100 years differs between the individual scenarios for Central European mixed forests developed in other subprojects.
Projekt Lead Prof. Tord Snäll (SLU), Subproject Population dynamics of bird species Prof. Dr. Boris Schröder-Esselbach
Team Dr. Pedro J. Leitão
External Cooperation Partners Prof. Dr. Tord Snäll, ArtDatabanken Swedish Species Information Centre, Box 7007, SE-750 07 Uppsala, Sweden, Prof. Dr. Thomas Hahn, Stockholm Resilience Centre at Stockholm University, SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden, Dr. Eva-Maria Nordström, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Department of Forest Resource Management, Division of Forest Planning, SE-901 83 Umeå, Sweden, Dr. Jenni Nordén, Norwegian Institute for Nature Research (NINA), Postboks 1066, Blindern, N-0316 Oslo, Norway, Prof. Dr. Arpat Ozgul, Dr. Michael Griesser, Dr. Paul Haverkamp, University of Zurich, Dept. of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies, Winterthurstrasse 190, CH-8057 Zürich, Switzerland, Prof. Dr. Hans Pretzsch, Dr. Enno Uhl. Dr. Astor Toraño Caicoya, Laura Zeller, Technische Universität München, Wissenschaftszentrum Weihenstephan, Lehrstuhl für Waldwachstumskunde, Freising, Germany
Duration 2016 - 2019
Funding Body BMBF, Projektträger DLR